If given the choice in 2024 between Biden and Trump, 44-41 percent would choose Biden: NAJ screen shot
By Glynn Wilson –
The midterm elections are less than four months down the road from now, on November 8, and the mainstream media and big name pollsters are still bullish on the Republicans, while oddsmakers are still betting they will take back control of Congress in 2023. Why?
How it could it be that a majority of Americans really want to go back to 2020 when Trump was spreading Covid and the Republicans in Congress were doing nothing but kissing his ass and helping him?
The New York Times just released its big new midterm election poll on Monday, and it is full of nothing but gloom and doom for President Joe Biden, the Democratic Party and the country.
And the national newspaper of record blames “the left” for worrying more about abortion and guns than the economy?
Excuse me while I barf in my shoes.
Stand by to see a real public opinion and political analyst tell you what’s really going on. Do you actually believe these morons on cable TeeVee anyway, who still get all their information from what’s left of newspapers? Come on, people, it is 2022. We can do better on the web.
Below is the key quote from Monday morning’s New York Times email summary of the story.
Nate Cohn, The Times‘s chief political analyst, who you may recall insisted that everything was fine in 2016 and assured the country that Hillary Clinton — “she’s got this” — was going to beat Donald Trump handily — while we at the New American Journal warned that Trump was getting through to working class Americans and really did have a good chance to win – wrote this. I could not believe my eyes.
“The left has a set of priorities that is just different from the rest of the country’s,” Cohn said. “Liberals care more about abortion and guns than about the economy. Conservative concerns are much more in line with the rest of the country.”
What?
I hate to accuse Nate and the Times of bias here. The polls show what they do for a reason. They are accurate, within the margin of error. The problem is the interpretation of the polls, and it’s just hard for rich people in New York to see this from their ivory towers.
And let’s face facts. The election of Trump saved their financial asses. The only reason they are in the money these days is because 9 million people were so afraid of where Trump was taking the country that they finally gave in and started paying to read the Times.
Do they really want Trump and the Republicans back? So people will be so worried they can keep making millions of dollars from digital subscriptions?
Here’s what’s really going on.
“Widespread concerns about the economy and inflation have helped turn the national mood decidedly dark, both on Mr. Biden and the trajectory of the nation,” the Times reports in the main story. “More than three-quarters of registered voters see the United States moving in the wrong direction, a pervasive sense of pessimism that spans every corner of the country, every age range and racial group, cities, suburbs and rural areas, as well as both political parties.”
Sorry, folks, but it’s not Biden’s fault that people around the country and the world are in a dark mood. No American president could possibly fix everything that is going wrong, even if he had a super majority in the Senate on his side, which he doesn’t. The world is in a bad place, with bad news controlling the landscape.
It’s not just inflation here and the high price of gas at the pump. Covid is still lingering around, and the hangover from the pandemic is not quite over. More deadly viruses and pandemics are possible at any time, scientists tell us. Meanwhile the war in Ukraine is still raging, and people are in shock and disbelief that such a large ground war could still be happening in 2022. We thought we were passed such occurrences, and well we should be.
Even if Congress had been able to get together on a bill for President Biden to sign tackling climate change, the worst effects of global warming are only going to get worse for decades to come anyway. Heat waves, droughts, out of control wildfires, super storms, and all the rest are with us for the foreseeable future. These are not just theoretical concerns anymore. People are experiencing the worst.
All over the American west, millions of people have watched the out of control wildfires march through the woods toward their houses, and had to flee to escape the conflagrations. On the coasts, people have had to flee the hurricanes and floods. Many have been uprooted from their communities and had to migrate somewhere else to live and try to find work.
This is only going to grow worse no matter what any politician says or does. People know that now. No wonder they are in a dark mood.
In addition to inflation, economists are predicting a coming recession. In spite of all the positive numbers on the official jobs report front and the stock market, many people are being left out of this economy. Of course they are not feeling positive about the future.
Even if it might be possible to get a job, what kind of a job? And do the jobs out there really pay a living wage? Many people are not happy with the jobs they are able to get. Would you like working in an Amazon factory warehouse for 60 hours a week at $8 an hour, no overtime pay? No health care coverage? No retirement plan? Really?
Come on.
It is true — and the poll shows it — that many Americans would like to have better choices in our leaders than two old white guys like Biden and Trump. Where are Barack and Michelle Obama when we need them?
Biden’s job approval rating is only 33 percent, similar to Trump’s worst ratings during his presidency, the Times poll points out. They say this is “partly because of frustration over inflation and the continuing disruptions to daily life stemming from the pandemic.” But that is a shallow analysis. People are concerned about the future of democracy and the planet for very good reasons, including the insurrection and predictions of future insurrections.
The Washington Post magazine carried a story awhile back, which they recently reran on the front of their website, showing experts predicting far right extremists still planning more insurgencies.
And let’s not forget the disasters coming from this conservative Supreme Court.
Hey Nate, did you miss all the coverage of the disastrous rulings recently issued by the Supreme Court? Skip your paper’s “fair and balanced” coverage and see all the analysis here.
There is no way that a majority of American voters want Trump back in power to take this country even further to the radical right. Maybe you are asking the wrong questions, and thinking about it wrong.
Women in this country are certainly not happy with the situation, since this court just overturned Roe v. Wade, allowing states to now completely outlaw abortions and even threaten to put women in jail who consider this an option, even if their own lives are at serious risk.
OF COURSE people are concerned about “Abortion,” and not just on the left. Do you really think they won’t turn out in great numbers to vote? I say you are wrong. This issue alone could help determine the outcome of many elections, and it won’t go well for the Republicans, especially running for the Senate.
People are also concerned about the insane sickness of allowing so many guns and even high powered assault rifles loose on our streets, so yes they are concerned about all the mass shootings. Do you really believe a majority of Americans are going to vote in November to allow even more of this to happen by electing more Republicans?
I don’t believe it for a second.
Sure, the brainwashed Republicans who are still consuming the Trump Kool-aide are happy about the Supreme Court and more guns and fewer abortions and the return of god to public schools. But surely Democrats and independents are not happy about that.
What could happen is that they are so disgusted with all politicians and the lack of results that they just don’t show up to vote at all for anybody in November.
But I don’t think that is going to happen.
I think at the end of the day, when the rubber meets the road, so to speak, and it is time to vote, Democrats will show up and support their candidates, and a majority of independents will join them.
The raw poll numbers may not show this yet. But if you were out here in the country seeing what people are seeing and feeling, and maybe if you asked better questions and understood people more, you might get it. And I’m not talking about these random nobodies you find to interview for your polls. You have to find the opinion leaders in communities, including the community of Facebook, to see what people are really talking about.
It’s just not in what’s left of the newspapers, or on cable TeeVee.
“Democrats’ priorities appear out of step with those of most Americans?”
That is complete nonsense. What are you talking about?
If you wade down to the very end of the coverage, there is a revealing number that perhaps should be in the headline and the lede.
“… when all voters were asked to choose between Biden and Trump in a hypothetical matchup, Biden nonetheless held a small lead over Trump,” the Times reports, “44 percent to 41 percent.”
And that election is still more than two years away, in 2024. Much can happen between now and then.
Even if the election of 2024 ends up being between Biden and Trump, Biden would still win, because people are too afraid of Trump and would never want to go back to the hellscape of living under that authoritarian regime, certainly not with a majority of Republicans supporting him in the House and Senate. I don’t care what the price of gas is.
No way. No how. Not gonna happen.
If it does I’m out of here anyway. And a lot of people are going with me.
